Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 13.567418 15.530926 17.692479 20.250833 23.199206 26.494099 30.460566
2025-11-16 10.697489 13.197483 16.170765 19.976009 24.729248 30.487097 38.016136
2025-11-23 8.940749 11.628786 15.005503 19.574728 25.621628 33.385062 44.165199
2025-11-30 8.164546 11.095635 14.949220 20.412577 28.002340 38.236790 53.191699
2025-12-07 7.394385 10.434973 14.592260 20.728516 29.619676 42.132594 61.251407
2025-12-14 6.668461 9.729622 14.062919 20.692380 30.666041 45.250177 68.446372
2025-12-21 6.025671 9.060846 13.494595 20.502294 31.412357 47.933991 75.197956
2025-12-28 5.717992 8.847710 13.558227 21.238159 33.592800 52.940476 86.020116
2026-01-04 5.396661 8.574862 13.492852 21.746180 35.435285 57.556690 96.659112
2026-01-11 5.158700 8.405477 13.563635 22.461583 37.656821 62.961435 109.143703
2026-01-18 4.696736 7.827368 12.920060 21.925585 37.715008 64.734183 115.497582
2026-01-25 4.330960 7.375160 12.440656 21.613726 38.109492 67.087206 123.078953
2026-02-01 4.005581 6.968597 12.011128 21.361425 38.606181 69.704139 131.506404
2026-02-08 3.706423 6.581767 11.581837 21.067009 38.991813 72.144986 139.850999
2026-02-15 3.418546 6.189682 11.108183 20.642836 39.084014 74.026520 147.271284
2026-02-22 3.346803 6.183832 11.328027 21.528668 41.743604 81.031824 165.678224
2026-03-01 3.203884 6.032620 11.265042 21.862725 43.348446 86.113535 180.662897
2026-03-08 3.025071 5.798096 11.024725 21.824516 44.196996 89.744373 192.948480
2026-03-15 2.841804 5.540054 10.717842 21.623528 44.687191 92.671917 204.000775
2026-03-22 2.784353 5.525238 10.884581 22.401624 47.292912 100.276751 226.310141
2026-03-29 2.703030 5.455508 10.935006 22.938842 49.428266 107.065455 247.503508
2026-04-05 2.648227 5.435361 11.083506 23.695416 52.109679 115.303262 273.024070
2026-04-12 2.468380 5.140733 10.640859 23.128566 51.777138 116.724006 282.272411